Sunday, April 8, 2007

Major League mediocrity

I can't remember heading into a baseball season without being able to name a single team that will threaten 100 wins. The way it looks to me, all the divisions are up for grabs.

Below are my 2007 picks in Baseball Prospectus' Predictatron contest. Last year, I came in the top dozen or so out of 900 entries. This year, I feel less confident because so many teams are mediocre.

American League East
Boston Red Sox 89 - 73
New York Yankees 88 - 74
Toronto Blue Jays 78 - 84
Tampa Bay Devil Rays 75 - 87
Baltimore Orioles 72 - 90

American League Central
Cleveland Indians 88 - 74
Detroit Tigers 85 - 77
Minnesota Twins 84 - 78
Chicago White Sox 76 - 86
Kansas City Royals 72 - 90

American League West
Anaheim Angels 86 - 76
Texas Rangers 85 - 77
Oakland Athletics 84 - 78
Seattle Mariners 76 - 86

National League East
New York Mets 88 - 74
Philadelphia Phillies 87 - 75
Atlanta Braves 85 - 77
Florida Marlins 74 - 88
Washington Nationals 58 - 104

National League Central
St. Louis Cardinals 87 - 75
Milwaukee Brewers 85 - 77
Chicago Cubs 85 - 77
Cincinnati Reds 76 - 86
Houston Astros 75 - 87
Pittsburgh Pirates 75 - 87

National League West
San Diego Padres 89 - 73
Arizona Diamondbacks 85 - 77
Colorado Rockies 84 - 78
Los Angeles Dodgers 83 - 79
San Francisco Giants 76 - 86

Playoffs

American League Division Series:
New York Yankees over Cleveland Indians in 5 games
Boston Red Sox over Anaheim Angels in 4 games

National League Division Series:
St. Louis Cardinals over New York Mets in 5 games
San Diego Padres over Philadelphia Phillies in 4 games

American League Championship Series:
Boston Red Sox over New York Yankees in 6 games

National League Championship Series:
San Diego Padres over St. Louis Cardinals in 6 games

World Series:
San Diego Padres over Boston Red Sox in 6 games

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